Insights

March 20, 2023

Turning the spotlight on US buybacks - is a structural reversal in play?

Share buybacks in the US have been a key feature of market dynamics during the post-GFC period...
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March 20, 2023

Bank contagion fears lead to a collapse in year-end US interest rate expectations

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and fears of contagion have hit global bank stocks, rippling through to wider risk off market sentiment
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March 3, 2023

The Risk Off move in February had a different dynamic compared to those of 2022

While the FT Wilshire 5000 adopted a risk off tone in February…
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February 20, 2023

Has market exuberance over the 'Goldilocks' narrative been premature?

The improvement in risk appetite in recent months has been underpinned by a 'Goldilocks' scenario of easing financial conditions
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February 6, 2023

Two distinct phases to the recovery in markets since mid-October

The FT Wilshire 5000 has appreciated 14.5% from the mid-October low
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January 25, 2023

Confidence buoyed by conviction that inflation has peaked - despite Fed skepticism

Markets are convinced that inflation has already peaked and that interest rates should follow suit by Q2 this year.
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January 6, 2023

2022 performance review: Six key observations from an ‘annus horribilis’

The FT Wilshire 5000 delivered the 4th largest annual drawdown since 1970
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November 22, 2022

Moving to the phase where bad news becomes good news

The likelihood of the delivery of sustained disinflation in 2023
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November 22, 2022

Unpacking the drivers behind the deteriorating US EPS growth trajectory

The second half of 2023 has seen the 2023 EPS growth rate forecast start to decline
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November 4, 2022

Differentiating bear market rallies vs meaningful inflection points

Bear markets are not linear – they typically witness numerous rallies
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November 3, 2022

October saw US equities rally on speculation the Fed might change tack

The FT Wilshire 5000 rallies 8.2% in October
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October 22, 2022

The scale of the de-rating has pushed PEs back to Covid lows

Scale of the drawdown in global equities in 2022 has produced a significant de-rating with US equites experiencing one of the largest PE contractions
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